Thursday, November 02, 2006

Predictions: County Council and Executive

District One: Courtney Watson wins. She has the best run local campaign.

District Two: Calvin Ball wins. This is a heavily Democratic district.

District Three: Jen Terassa wins. The last Republican to win this district was Denny Schrader. Its had a few strong Democratic precincts added to it recently.

District Four: Mary Kay Sigaty wins. Great name recognition and a Democratic registration advantage.

District Five: Greg Fox wins. This is a heavily Republican district. Donald Dunn has done better than expected here. If you ever met him personally, you would know why.

I think Ken Ulman will squeak this one out. Why? While the Merdon campaign has done an excellent job all-around, they have really won the battle in the "free' media." That being said, this is a Democratic year and the Democrats have a registration advantage in the county. And while the Merdon campaign won the free media battle, Ken's campaign does have a strong GOTV operation. Finally, I think Wallis will be the deciding factor, he will hurt Merdon more than Ken.

3 comments:

wordbones said...

Steve,

I agree. Wallis hurts Merdon more than Ulman. In the end, that could be the deciding factor.

Anonymous said...

Ulman supporters must get out and vote, to avoid another devastating 8 years like those following '00.

Anonymous said...

i think wallis hurts ulman more. teachers and pta members all over respect him and would love a principal to be county exec. merdon will win but it will be incredibly close. ulman isn't ready for this responsibility. it's too bad that democrats will simply vote for the big D on the ballot without looking into the qualifications, temperament and platforms. i hope merdon wins. i will biting my nails all night.